Mitek Systems Stock Performance
| MITK Stock | USD 11.83 2.01 20.47% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Mitek Systems holds a performance score of 10. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.08, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Mitek Systems returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mitek Systems is expected to follow. Please check Mitek Systems' potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Mitek Systems' current price movements will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mitek Systems are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unfluctuating basic indicators, Mitek Systems disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 93.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 5.8 M |
Mitek Systems Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 931.00 in Mitek Systems on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 252.00 from holding Mitek Systems or generate 27.07% return on investment over 90 days. Mitek Systems is currently generating 0.4511% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.5381% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than Mitek, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Mitek Systems Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Mitek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.83 | 90 days | 11.83 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mitek Systems to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mitek Systems probability density function shows the probability of Mitek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Mitek Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mitek Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitek Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mitek Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mitek Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mitek Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mitek Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mitek Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mitek Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Mitek Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mitek Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mitek Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mitek Systems had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Mitek Systems has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Mitek Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mitek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mitek Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mitek Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 193 M |
Mitek Systems Fundamentals Growth
Mitek Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mitek Systems, and Mitek Systems fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mitek Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0387 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0253 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 408.83 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 45.3 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 45.71 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.86 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.50 X | ||||
| Revenue | 179.69 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 38.74 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 71.05 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.60 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 159.49 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.75 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.26 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 55.34 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.19 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 459.11 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (26.21 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 40.31 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 8.33 M | ||||
About Mitek Systems Performance
By examining Mitek Systems' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Mitek Systems' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Mitek Systems is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Mitek Systems, Inc. develops, markets, and sells mobile image capture and digital identity verification solutions in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. Mitek Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is based in San Diego, California. Mitek Systems operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 435 people.Things to note about Mitek Systems performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mitek Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mitek Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mitek Systems had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Mitek Systems has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing Mitek Systems' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mitek Systems' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Mitek Systems' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Mitek Systems' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mitek Systems' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mitek Systems' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mitek Systems' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Mitek Systems. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty. For more information on how to buy Mitek Stock please use our How to buy in Mitek Stock guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mitek Systems. Expected growth trajectory for Mitek significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Mitek Systems assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of Mitek Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mitek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mitek Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mitek Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mitek Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mitek Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mitek Systems' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mitek Systems represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Mitek Systems' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.